Fate Chart

The Chart

Roll d100. Result ≤ threshold = Yes. Threshold is set by the intersection of narrative odds and current Chaos Factor (CF).

Odds	CF 1	CF 2	CF 3	CF 4	CF 5	CF 6	CF 7	CF 8	CF 9
Certain	85	90	90	90	90	95	95	95	95
Nearly Certain	75	80	80	85	85	85	90	90	95
Very Likely	55	60	65	70	75	80	85	90	90
Likely	35	45	50	55	65	70	75	80	85
50/50	20	25	35	45	50	55	65	70	75
Unlikely	10	15	20	25	35	45	50	55	65
Very Unlikely	5	8	10	15	25	30	35	40	50
Nearly Impossible	2	3	5	10	15	20	25	30	35
Impossible	—	1	2	5	10	12	15	18	25

Result Types

Roll vs threshold	Result
≤ threshold ÷ 5	Exceptional Yes — intensified to the next logical level
≤ threshold	Yes — expectation confirmed
> threshold	No — next most expected outcome
≥ 100 − floor((100 − threshold) ÷ 5)	Exceptional No — intensified opposite of Yes

Lore Validation on Exceptional Results: Before narrating any Exceptional Yes or No, pause. Does the outcome contradict established source material — NPC timelines, faction politics, canon events? If yes, find a lore-consistent version that preserves the quality of the exceptional result. The oracle says WHAT happens; the GM validates HOW it happens against known canon. Never narrate first and retcon later.

Doubles → Random Events

When the d100 roll shows doubles (11, 22, 33, 44, 55, 66, 77, 88, 99) and the single digit ≤ current CF, a Random Event fires in addition to the normal Fate answer.

Example: CF 5. Roll 33. Single digit = 3. 3 ≤ 5 → Random Event fires. The roll still answers the Fate Question normally.

See Scene Mechanics for the Random Event Focus table.

When to Ask

Ask a Fate Question when:

A binary outcome genuinely matters and is uncertain
An NPC’s action, knowledge, or reaction is unclear
Coincidence or luck is a real factor
Consequences of an event are ambiguous

Do not ask about PC actions (those roll V20 dice) or narrative elements the GM controls.

Fate Questions as RPG Rules Lookups

When a Fate Question concerns a rule resolution rather than story direction, treat CF as 5 regardless of actual CF. Treat Exceptional results as regular Yes/No unless the rule specifically uses degrees of success.

Recording Format

Fate: [Question]? Odds: [odds label]. CF: [n]. Threshold: [T]. d100: [roll]. [Answer]. [+Random Event if doubles ≤ CF.]

Quick Yes/No Oracle

For low-stakes checks where triggering a Random Event would be disruptive: roll 1d10 + modifier. 6+ = Yes.

Odds	Modifier
Slim to none	−4
Not Likely	−2
Don’t Know	0
Likely	+2
Very Likely	+4

Total	Result
0 or below	No, and further bad news
1–3	No
4–5	Yes, but…
6–8	Yes
9–10	Yes, and…